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If there’s one Thanksgiving tradition Americans can always count on, it’s talking about the weather. And this year, The Old Farmer’s Almanac (OFA) is giving everyone plenty to discuss. The 2025 Thanksgiving forecast reads like a patchwork quilt — part frost, part sunshine, and a whole lot of travel uncertainty.
The OFA’s long-range outlook for the week of November 23–30, 2025, paints a divided picture across the United States: cold and snowy in the West and Northeast, mild and sunny across the South, and a mostly dry, calm stretch for much of the Midwest. Whether you’re prepping turkey in Texas or piling into the car in Boston, your plans may depend on which side of the weather map you fall.
The Almanac’s seasonal models, which blend solar cycles, ocean patterns, and historical data, suggest this year’s Thanksgiving could be one of the most regionally mixed in recent memory.
The result? A classic split — snow boots up north, sunglasses down south.
West & Northwest:
Think classic November chill — moisture-laden systems rolling off the Pacific could mean soggy commutes and slick mountain passes. Expect colder-than-normal highs and possible Thanksgiving-week snow in parts of Oregon, Idaho, and Colorado.
Northeast:
Bundle up. From Pennsylvania through Maine, temperatures are forecast to dip below seasonal averages. Northern New England and upstate New York may see light snow flurries or sleet, adding that postcard-perfect winter look (and maybe some travel delays).
South & Southeast:
If you’re spending Thanksgiving in Florida, Georgia, or Texas, you’re in luck. The OFA calls for mild, sunny conditions — ideal for travel, parades, or even an outdoor dinner. Expect highs in the 60s to low 70s, with little to no rain.
Midwest & Heartland:
Largely dry early in the week, but a weak front could bring scattered showers by the weekend. Temperatures hover near average — jacket weather, but not bone-chilling.
High Plains:
Cold and dry, with crisp air and clear skies. It’s the kind of weather that makes for good visibility but brisk outdoor temperatures — expect overnight lows well below freezing.
Thanksgiving consistently ranks as one of the busiest travel periods of the year, and weather can quickly turn a smooth trip into a logistical nightmare.
This year, airlines and drivers in the Northeast and West should brace for potential delays caused by cold fronts, wet runways, or slick roads. The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) (faa.gov) recommends checking flight status frequently during the holiday week and signing up for airline alerts.
In contrast, Southern and Southeastern routes look ideal for travel — mild temperatures, dry roads, and clear skies should make for easier drives and fewer flight disruptions.
AAA projects that more than 55 million Americans will travel for Thanksgiving this year, with road trips accounting for nearly 90% of journeys. For those driving through mountain passes in the West, early preparation (chains, de-icer, winter tires) is advised.
The Old Farmer’s Almanac, a New England institution since 1792, bases its long-range forecasts on a proprietary mix of solar activity, ocean patterns, and statistical trends. It claims about 80% historical accuracy, though meteorologists caution against taking those numbers literally.
According to the National Weather Service (NWS) (weather.gov), long-range outlooks should be viewed as “broad seasonal guidance,” not precise day-to-day forecasts. Short-term local predictions — those issued within seven days — remain far more reliable.
Still, for many Americans, the OFA’s seasonal forecast remains a cherished part of holiday planning, blending tradition with practical preparation.
Whether you’re cooking at home or flying cross-country, the key to a stress-free Thanksgiving this year is flexibility.
For those in the South, the main concern might just be sunscreen — for everyone else, it’s time to find that snow brush and travel mug.
Thanksgiving 2025 underscores how dramatically America’s climate can vary coast to coast. While some families will gather under sunny skies, others may watch flakes drift past their windows.
The Old Farmer’s Almanac says this contrast — warm air pushing up from the Gulf clashing with cold northern systems — will likely define late November weather nationwide. For travelers, that means one universal rule: check before you go.
The outlook spans November 23–30, 2025, covering travel and return dates around the Thanksgiving holiday.
The West, Northwest, and parts of the Northeast may experience snow, especially in higher elevations and northern areas.
Yes. The South and Southeast are forecast to have mild, sunny, and dry conditions.
The OFA claims around 80% accuracy, though forecasts are best treated as general seasonal guidance.
Check your local National Weather Service office or weather.gov for updated short-term forecasts.
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